Air Force
W-L: (16-16) PR = 93.7438Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1103 A Denver SM ( 9-18, 93.1) 59-50 1107 H So Dakota SM (24-10, 94.6) 50-75 1110 H Oregon State WC (21-11, 95.3) 49-60 1115 A Manhattan MAAC (12-20, 92.2) 67-54 1118 A Portland St BS ( 5-25, 92.0) 65-55 1122 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 43-55 1127 H Florida Atl AME (13-18, 93.8) 71-76 1129 A Wright St HL ( 9-23, 92.5) 59-49 1206 A Utah Valley WAC U (15-15, 93.6) 58-50 1213 A NMHI 65-64 1217 H Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 53-65 1220 A Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 61-45 1231 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 51-62 103 H UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 58-64 107 H Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 59-70 110 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 76-57 117 H Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 44-67 121 H UNLV MW (21- 9, 95.0) 47-78 124 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 57-74 131 A Fresno St MW (16-16, 93.7) 61-56 204 A Utah State MW ( 4-24, 92.5) 73-50 207 A Grand Canyon MW (14-16, 94.1) 65-64 211 H Nevada MW ( 9-20, 93.2) 59-76 214 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 77-61 218 H Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 62-70 221 H New Mexico MW (21-10, 94.7) 53-73 225 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 69-61 303 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 57-74 307 A Wyoming MW ( 9-19, 93.3) 60-53 308 A San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 83-76 309 A Boise St MW (24- 9, 94.8) 68-66 319 H No Colorado BS (20-11, 94.2) 72-79
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1103 A Denver 59-50 9 1 1.34
1107 H So Dakota 50-75 -25 -1 -1.16
1110 H Oregon State 49-60 -11 -2 -0.46
1115 A Manhattan 67-54 13 2 0.47
1118 A Portland St 65-55 10 2 0.30
1122 H UC San Diego 43-55 -12 -1 -1.26
1127 H Florida Atl 71-76 -5 0 -1.93
1129 A Wright St 59-49 10 1 0.79
1206 A Utah Valley 58-50 8 0 1.87
1217 H Utah State 53-65 -12 1 - -3.27
1220 A Nevada 61-45 16 0 1.50
1231 H San Diego St 51-62 -11 -2 -0.27
103 H UNLV 58-64 -6 -1 -0.75
107 H Boise St 59-70 -11 -1 -1.00
110 A San Jose St 76-57 19 2 0.35
117 H Wyoming 44-67 -23 0 - -2.46
121 H UNLV 47-78 -31 -1 -0.75
124 H New Mexico 57-74 -17 -1 -1.09
131 A Fresno St 61-56 5 0 1.92
204 A Utah State 73-50 23 1 0.75
207 A Grand Canyon 65-64 1 0 1.39
211 H Nevada 59-76 -17 1 - -2.52
214 A San Jose St 77-61 16 2 0.35
218 H Boise St 62-70 -8 -1 -1.00
221 H New Mexico 53-73 -20 -1 -1.09
225 A Wyoming 69-61 8 0 1.56
303 H San Diego St 57-74 -17 -2 -0.27
307 A Wyoming 60-53 7 0 1.56
308 A San Diego St 83-76 7 -2 + 3.75
309 A Boise St 68-66 2 -1 + 3.02
319 H No Colorado 72-79 -7 0 -1.58
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1217 H Utah State 53-65 -12 1 - -3.27 117 H Wyoming 44-67 -23 0 - -2.46 211 H Nevada 59-76 -17 1 - -2.52 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 308 A San Diego St 83-76 7 -2 + 3.75 309 A Boise St 68-66 2 -1 + 3.02 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Denver ( 9-18, 93.1) 59-50 -6.83 4.13 0.01 0.98 8.10
3 H So Dakota (24-10, 94.6) 50-75 -5.31 5.65 -0.01 0.98 -2.60
3 H Oregon State (21-11, 95.3) 49-60 -4.61 6.35 -0.01 0.98 -2.26
3 A Manhattan (12-20, 92.2) 67-54 -7.70 3.26 0.01 0.98 6.40
3 A Portland St ( 5-25, 92.0) 65-55 -7.87 3.09 0.01 0.98 6.07
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 43-55 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 0.98 -2.65
3 H Florida Atl (13-18, 93.8) 71-76 -6.08 4.89 -0.01 0.98 -2.98
3 A Wright St ( 9-23, 92.5) 59-49 -7.38 3.58 0.01 0.98 7.03
3 A Utah Valley (15-15, 93.6) 58-50 -6.30 4.66 0.01 0.98 9.15
3 H Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 53-65 -7.42 3.54 -0.01 0.98 -3.64
3 A Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 61-45 -6.66 4.30 0.01 0.98 8.43
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 51-62 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 0.98 -2.17
3 H UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 58-64 -4.90 6.06 -0.01 0.98 -2.40
3 H Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 59-70 -5.15 5.81 -0.01 0.98 -2.53
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 76-57 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.98 6.18
3 H Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 44-67 -6.61 4.35 -0.01 0.98 -3.24
3 H UNLV (21- 9, 95.0) 47-78 -4.90 6.06 -0.01 0.98 -2.40
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 57-74 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 0.98 -2.57
3 A Fresno St (16-16, 93.7) 61-56 -6.25 4.71 0.01 0.98 9.25
3 A Utah State ( 4-24, 92.5) 73-50 -7.42 3.54 0.01 0.98 6.96
3 A Grand Canyon (14-16, 94.1) 65-64 -5.77 5.19 0.01 0.98 10.17
3 H Nevada ( 9-20, 93.2) 59-76 -6.66 4.30 -0.01 0.98 -3.27
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 77-61 -7.82 3.14 0.01 0.98 6.18
3 H Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 62-70 -5.15 5.81 -0.01 0.98 -2.53
3 H New Mexico (21-10, 94.7) 53-73 -5.24 5.72 -0.01 0.98 -2.57
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 69-61 -6.61 4.35 0.01 0.98 8.54
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 57-74 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 0.98 -2.17
3 A Wyoming ( 9-19, 93.3) 60-53 -6.61 4.35 0.01 0.98 8.54
3 A San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 83-76 -4.42 6.54 0.01 0.98 12.83
3 A Boise St (24- 9, 94.8) 68-66 -5.15 5.81 0.01 0.98 11.40
3 H No Colorado (20-11, 94.2) 72-79 -5.73 5.23 -0.01 0.98 -2.81
------
82.44
|
winning pts = 125.2173 losing points = -42.7776
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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